Lebanon Daily News Brief 03/31/2022

DAILY NEWS

Cabinet Approves Capitol Control Law
Yesterday, the Lebanese cabinet approved a modified, draft capitol controls law, which is a pivotal step in reaching an agreement on a debt relief package from the IMF. According to Reuters, “MP Ali Hasan Khalil, a top aide to House Speaker Nabih Berri, said on Monday that Berri was ready to schedule another session to adopt the bill before parliamentary elections on May 15. No such session has yet been scheduled.” [Reuters]

BDL Governor Skips Court Hearing 
Lebanese Central Bank Governor Riad Salameh failed to attend the judicial hearing to which he was summoned last week following his corruption charge. The judge presiding over the hearing scheduled a new hearing for June. [Reuters]

Lebanese Banking Control Commission Orders Comprehensive Asset Inventory for All Banks
The Lebanese banking sector’s supervisory authority, the Banking Control Commission, has ordered all of Lebanon’s banks to send the Commission a comprehensive inventory of all real estate assets by May 20th. [L’Orient Today]

 

OPINION & ANALYSIS

Washington Institute for Near East Policy

Hezbollah in Colombia: Past and Present Modus Operandi and the Need for Greater Scrutiny

Aurora Ortega

Ortega writes, “Research on Hezbollah in Latin America has tended to focus on Venezuela and the Tri-Border Area, covering Argentina, Paraguay, and Brazil, but recent events show that less noted countries deserve attention too. In 2014, for example, Peruvian police arrested a Hezbollah operative in Lima’s Surquillo district for planning a terrorist operation, and security services in the region also evidently disrupted a Hezbollah terrorist plot targeting innocent civilians in Chile. In 2017, Bolivian authorities identified a Hezbollah-affiliated warehouse and seized enough explosive precursor material to produce a two-and-a-half-ton bomb. Then, in fall 2021 in Colombia, local reporting indicated that Hezbollah was planning to assassinate an Israeli national as part of a broader operation that also targeted Americans, reportedly to avenge the January 2020 killing of Iran’s Qods Force commander Qasem Soleimani. In this incisive Policy Note, researcher Aurora Ortega demonstrates how enhanced scrutiny of Hezbollah’s commercial ventures could provide insight into the group’s operations and potentially disrupt its infrastructure in the Western Hemisphere. To this end, she highlights the activities of little-known Hezbollah agents in Latin America and outlines opportunities for the United States to interdict them through a mix of law enforcement, sanctions, and diplomacy.”

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Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in these articles are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the position of the American Task Force on Lebanon, a non-profit, nonpartisan leadership organization of Lebanese-Americans.

Lebanon Daily News Brief 03/30/2022

DAILY NEWS

Lebanese Union for People with Physical Disabilities Protest Lack of Accessibility in Upcoming Polls
In a statement delivered at a protest held in Downtown Beirut’s Riad al-Solh Square, the Lebanese Union for People with Physical Disabilities said, “We stand today, in front of the government palaces, first, to remind Prime Minister Najib Mikati that he declared 2013 a promising year for people with disabilities but broke his promise. We stand today to remind successive prime ministers and interior ministers… that they did not perform the minimum of their duties [towards the diasabled who constitute] 15 percent of the Lebanese population. All laws, decrees, decisions and circulars were for them ink on paper, and all their promises were false.” [L’Orient Today]

Association of Banks in Lebanon Files Two Lawsuits Against Public Prosecutor
Through its lawyer Akram Azouri, the Association of Banks in Lebanon explained its legal request demanding that the Mount Lebanon Court of Appeal dismiss Public Prosecutor Judge Ghada Aoun from a case freezing all the assets of six banking institutions and their chairman in addition to issuing traveling bans on the chairman: “The recusal request filed against Judge Aoun aims to remove her from the case, so as to prevent her from going on with her proceedings. The lawsuit against the state for gross misconduct by the judge would result in nullifying the decisions she has already made. If successful, the bank and bankers’ asset freezes and travel bans will be invalidated.” [L’Orient Today]

Head of UN WFP: War in Ukraine Creating Worst Food Crisis Since WWII
“The war in Ukraine is turning “the breadbasket of the world to breadlines” for millions of its people, while devastating countries like Egypt that normally gets 85% of its grain from Ukraine and Lebanon that got 81% in 2020,” said David Beasley, executive director of the UN World Food Program to the UN Security Council. He added that the war in Ukraine will impact the world’s food supply on a scale not seen since World War II. [AP News]

 

OPINION & ANALYSIS

L’Orient Today
Nothing Is Going Well Between Baabda And Bkirki
Yara Abi Akl

Abi Akl writes, “For nearly two years, Rai has tirelessly pleaded for Lebanon’s neutrality in regional conflicts, at a time when Hezbollah, a long-time ally of Michel Aoun, is involved in these conflicts, in Syria or in Yemen, supported by its Iranian sponsor. Events last week were demonstrative of this rift: While the Maronite Church head was pleading in Cairo for Lebanon to return to the Arab bosom after the recent quarrel with the Gulf countries against a background of Hezbollah’s interference in the region, President Aoun defended, once again, the Shiite party and its arsenal in Europe. ‘Hezbollah has no influence on Lebanon’s security situation,’ he told the Italian daily La Repubblica, on the sidelines of his two-day official visit to the Vatican. On the other hand, the patriarch has reiterated calls, especially in recent months, to disarm Hezbollah and respect UN resolutions, including Resolution no. 1559 (2004) on ‘disarming and disbanding all militias’ and ‘the extension of the control of the government of Lebanon over all Lebanese territory,’ among other issues.”

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Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in these articles are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the position of the American Task Force on Lebanon, a non-profit, nonpartisan leadership organization of Lebanese-Americans.

Lebanon Daily News Brief 03/29/2022

DAILY NEWS

PM Mikati: ‘Staying Put’ As Prime Minister To Hold On-Time Elections
Lebanese Prime Minister Najib Mikati said that he would remain Prime Minister through the parliamentary elections scheduled for May 15th, saying, “I won’t be dragged into resigning so that it is not an excuse for obstructing parliamentary elections.” [Reuters]

Capital Control Law Rejected by Parliamentary Committees
The latest version of the capital control law was rejected by the members of the Lebanese Parliament’s Finance and Budget Committee and Administration and Law Committee in a joint meeting, and the law will no longer appear on the agenda. [L’Orient Today]

Speaker of Parliament Rejects PM’s Call for Vote of Confidence
According to Naharnet, Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri on Tuesday rejected a suggestion from Prime Minister Najib Miqati for turning an ongoing legislative session into a general discussion session that would involve a vote of confidence over the government’s policies.” [Naharnet]

 

OPINION & ANALYSIS

Lebanon Needs International Support For Judicial Reform

Adnan Nasser

Nasser writes, “The United States is a traditional ally of Lebanon and should continue to more forcefully prioritize independence of the judiciary as a key anti-corruption reform upon which additional aid can be unlocked. Recently the Biden Administration and Congress increased aid to Lebanon’s ailing economy and security forces to help their families survive the pandemic. All of this is welcome and can help bring more stability to Lebanon in preparation for the May election. However,  future aid should be predicated on guaranteeing the safety and freedom of judges to conduct their work without intimidation. Lebanon’s failing democracy can be rescued, not simply by the power of voters, but by the confidence of its judiciary’s independence.”

Read More Here

L’Orient Today
Yet Another Version Of A Long-Awaited Capital Control Law Is Before Parliament This Week, But What Are The Main Points?
Kabalan FarahFarah writes, “Prime Minister Najib Mikati announced during a speech at the Doha Forum on March 26 that an IMF Fund delegation will arrive in Lebanon on Tuesday and that he expects a deal with the fund will be signed in the next two weeks. The same day, Chami announced that last week he met with representatives of depositors, the General Confederation of Lebanese Workers, a group of economists and financial experts and representatives of the different industries and the Association of Banks in Lebanon, to discuss the economic and financial recovery plan. Ibrahim Kanaan, MP and Chair of the Finance and Budget Committee, wrote in a tweet that he rejects the new version of the capital control law, and will also reject any version that does not protect the rights of depositors and that gives unrestricted powers to a committee composed of the government and the central bank.” 

Read More Here

Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in these articles are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the position of the American Task Force on Lebanon, a non-profit, nonpartisan leadership organization of Lebanese-Americans.

Lebanon Daily News Brief 03/28/2022

DAILY NEWS

Capitol Control Law Discussed in Parliament, Vote Tomorrow
In the aftermath of the recent visit from an IMF delegation to Lebanon, parliamentary committees today discussed a draft capitol control law that would be voted on in tomorrow’s session of Parliament. According to Reuters, “The latest draft returns to parliament amid escalating tussles between some judges and banks, seven of which have had their assets frozen by judicial orders this month in three separate actions.” [Reuters]

Central Bank Governor Named Suspect in International Money-Laundering Probe
Led by authorities in France, Germany, and Luxembourg, a joint money-laundering probe named Lebanese Central Bank Governor Riad Salameh as a suspect -one of five- in the alleged embezzlement of $330 million. Assets worth a total of 
120 million were frozen as part of the same investigation. [Bloomberg]

PM Offers Hopeful Remarks on IMF Deal
In remarks delivered at the Doha Forum, Prime Minister Najib Mikati said, “Negotiations between Lebanon and the IMF are continuing, and next Tuesday a mission headed by the IMF president will begin a visit to Lebanon to complete the negotiations, and we hope that after the new two-week round of negotiations, a preliminary agreement will be signed between Lebanon and the IMF.” [L’Orient Today]

 

OPINION & ANALYSIS

Lebanon Needs International Support For Judicial Reform

Adnan Nasser

Nasser writes, “The United States is a traditional ally of Lebanon and should continue to more forcefully prioritize independence of the judiciary as a key anti-corruption reform upon which additional aid can be unlocked. Recently the Biden Administration and Congress increased aid to Lebanon’s ailing economy and security forces to help their families survive the pandemic. All of this is welcome and can help bring more stability to Lebanon in preparation for the May election. However,  future aid should be predicated on guaranteeing the safety and freedom of judges to conduct their work without intimidation. Lebanon’s failing democracy can be rescued, not simply by the power of voters, but by the confidence of its judiciary’s independence.”

Read More Here

NPR
This Lebanese University Is Bringing Older People Back To Class

Currently, Lebanon has the fastest growing proportion of senior citizens compared to any other country in the Arab world. As of 2021, 11% of its population was over the age of 65, according to Lebanon’s Ministry of Social Affairs. By 2050, that number is set to increase to 23%, making it a super-aged population by UN standards. ‘We have a very high emigration rate in Lebanon. Lebanese youth leaving the country and older Lebanese adults returning to their home country to retire in Lebanon,’ said Maya Abi Chahine, UfS’s program manager. ‘[Seniors] find themselves kind of alone. And the city and the country doesn’t really offer engaging opportunities.’ The University for Seniors is for students age 50 and up and, although UfS does not award degrees, the program offers a variety of lectures and courses, covering topics ranging from Neuroscience to Arabic Literature to cryptocurrency.

Read More Here

Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in these articles are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the position of the American Task Force on Lebanon, a non-profit, nonpartisan leadership organization of Lebanese-Americans.

Lebanon Daily News Brief 03/25/2022

DAILY NEWS

Lebanese Forces Leader Charged Over Tayouneh Clashes
This week, State Commissioner to the Military Court Judge Fadi Akiki filed charges against Samir Geagea, leader of the Lebanese Forces Party, over the October 14th Tayouneh Clashes. [Naharnet]  According to Al Jazeera, “Any attempt to arrest Geagea would likely be resisted by his party, creating the potential for trouble just two months before the parliamentary election, said Mohanad Hage Ali of the Carnegie Middle East Center.” [Al Jazeera]

 

British Embassy in Beirut: Deeply Concerned’ Over Account Closures
In a statement, the British Embassy in Beirut said it was ‘deeply concerned’ over the ‘discriminatory‘, ‘unilateral action’ taken by Lebanese banks to close their accounts held by UK citizens. The statement and closures follow a February 28th UK court ruling ordering two Lebanese banks to return $4 million to a UK client after being unable to access that money since 2019. [Reuters]

 

Iranian FM in Lebanon
For the second time in the span of five months, Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian is heading a delegation in Beirut, after visiting Syria, holding talks with President Michel Aoun, Prime Minister Najib Mikati, Speaker of Parliament Nabih Berri, Minister of Foreign Affairs and Emigrants Abdallah Bou Habib, and Secretary General of Hezbollah Hassan Nasrallah, among other political leaders and figures. [L’Orient Today]

 

OPINION & ANALYSIS

Lebanon Needs International Support For Judicial Reform

Adnan Nasser

Nasser writes, “The United States is a traditional ally of Lebanon and should continue to more forcefully prioritize independence of the judiciary as a key anti-corruption reform upon which additional aid can be unlocked. Recently the Biden Administration and Congress increased aid to Lebanon’s ailing economy and security forces to help their families survive the pandemic. All of this is welcome and can help bring more stability to Lebanon in preparation for the May election. However,  future aid should be predicated on guaranteeing the safety and freedom of judges to conduct their work without intimidation. Lebanon’s failing democracy can be rescued, not simply by the power of voters, but by the confidence of its judiciary’s independence.”

Read More Here

L’Orient Today
Beyond Barriers: Who And Where Are The Women Running In Lebanon’s May Elections, And What Are Their Prospects?
Rana Tabbara and Richard Salame

Tabbara and Salame write, “The number of women running varies across Lebanon, with the highest concentration of candidates being in Beirut. Women candidates are most represented in Beirut I, where they make up 29 percent of parliamentary hopefuls. The only other district where women make up more than 20 percent of candidates is Beirut II, at 24 percent. In nine districts they are between 10 and 20 percent of candidates. In four districts they are less than 10 percent of candidates. Women are least represented in Baalbek-Hermel and Saida-Jezzine, where they make up 7 percent of candidates each.”

Read More Here

Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in these articles are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the position of the American Task Force on Lebanon, a non-profit, nonpartisan leadership organization of Lebanese-Americans.

Lebanon Needs International Support for Judicial Reform

Lebanon’s judicial system is subjected to endless assaults from government officials and political parties that have a vested interest in maintaining the status quo of impunity over the rule of law. Due to ill-defined exceptions in the legal code, judges are limited in their abilities to call ministers for questioning. Manipulations of this exclusion principle  is one of many examples of  corruption in the judicial process. A perfect case of the disregard for the law is when a Lebanese judge ordered Central Bank governor Riad Salameh to attend a court hearing for questions on his alleged misconduct, The subpoena was issued by Judge Ghada Aoun on February 1 and Lebanese security were not able to locate him at his home or office. Salameh denied any wrongdoing, declaring his innocence and has refused to hand himself over to the courts.

On March 18, authorities arrested his younger brother, Raja Salameh, who is accused along with Riad of embezzling public and private funds, money laundering to illegally enrich themselves at the outset of the 2019 financial crisis. Sources reported Raja is currently being detained in the Baabda area, east of Beirut. This would require Judge Aoun to transfer her investigation to Judge Nicolas Mansour who oversees the district of Mount Lebanon. But the chase for answers from Salameh is not the only problem the judicial system is facing in Lebanon.

Unfortunately, instead of defending the judiciary, Prime Minister Najib Mikati said on Friday that the course of action by some judges was increasing tensions in Lebanon. His statement, regardless of intent, undermines the legitimacy of the court’s actions and risks enabling corruption. 

Mikati did, however, conclude a meeting with Lebanon’s justice minister Henry Khoury, agreeing to request the Mount Lebanon public prosecutor to take appropriate measures on the matter. There was also talk of restoring the rights of depositors in the commercial banks which the Central Bank regulates.. 

It has been almost two years since the devastating explosion in Beirut’s port that had taken the lives of more than 200 people and 6,500 wounded. Billions of dollars’ in property damage was also inflicted on the society. This exacerbated the existing economic declines, and depositors faced even more severe monetary erosion  as a result of the widening  financial meltdown, making it nearly impossible to rebuild some semblance of normalcy. People wanted to know why this could happen and what is being done to unearth the answers.

The Lebanese courts are fighting to give the people the truth on who is responsible for storing 2,750 tons of Ammonium Nitrate (AN), the cause of the blast. Judge Tarek Bitar, a dedicated legal servant, is giving the Lebanese hope in the domestic judiciary as Aya Majzoub, a Human Rights Watch researcher,  told Al Jazeera. Indeed, his willingness to call on witnesses from the elite such as former Ministers Hasan Khalil, Ghazi Zeiter, and Nohad al-Mashnouk has rattled the fragile cages of the once perceived immunity these influential political figures possess. He is setting a precedent that a majority of Lebanese are not used to seeing, that of politicians being treated as if they are under the law and not above it.

Both are senior members of the Shia political party called Amal, an ally of the Iranian-backed Hezbollah, party which is designated by the United States government as a terrorist organization. When they refused to follow the summons for questioning on the charges of criminal negligence, the rest of Lebanon had to pay a price.

In October of 2021, both Amal and Hezbollah organized rallies in anger to protest Bitar’s continued appointment as head of the Beirut blast investigation. Thousands of their supporters marched on the Palace of Justice in Tayouneh,  a Christian neighborhood in Beirut. Reports consumed the airwaves saying supporters of Lebanon’s Christian Lebanese Forces (LF) party fired upon the Hezbollah-Amal demonstrators with sniper rifles. It triggered a firefight with heavy weapons leaving 7 lives lost and a nation once again in dread and mourning. People were outraged and in a state of fear. Hezbollah’s leader, Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah blamed the deaths on Samir Geagea, the leader of the LF. Geagea denied giving orders to fire on the demonstrators and blamed Hezbollah’s incitement against Judge Bitar. Geagea was summoned by instructions of army intelligence to make a statement based on information provided by LF members who were arrested following the killings. He responded in a television interview that he would happily give a statement to the military court if they “listen to Nasrallah” first.. 

One should remind him this is not how the law works. Understandably, many Lebanese are frustrated with Hezbollah and its allies’ ability to ignore the authority of Lebanon’s legal and political institutions.

The probe into the blast has rekindled memories of Lebanon’s vicious 15-year civil war (1975-1990).  Nevertheless, it was not just the blast that killed these Lebanese, but the cowardice of some politicians who refused to hold themselves accountable before the law and courts. 

Mr. Nasrallah made allegations against the judge saying he was “playing politics” and that he was using “the blood of the victims to serve political interests.” There were reports from local Arabic news that Bitar received threats from Hezbollah’s Liaison and Coordination unit, Wafiq Safa. Through intermediaries, Safa made a stark warning to Bitar and made it clear his organization was displeased with how he was carrying out the case. 

The message to Judge Bitar was straightforward, “We have had enough of you. We will go to the end of the legal path, and if that does not work, we will remove you by force.”  Bitar confirmed these threats in a letter to Lebanon’s public prosecutor Ghassan Oueidate. So far, his work has not been deterred. This, however, may not last. 

The United States is a traditional ally of Lebanon and should continue to more forcefully prioritize independence of the judiciary as a key anti-corruption reform upon which additional aid can be unlocked. Recently the Biden Administration and Congress increased aid to Lebanon’s ailing economy and security forces to help their families survive the pandemic. All of this is welcome and can help bring more stability to Lebanon in preparation for the May election. However,  future aid should be predicated on guaranteeing the safety and freedom of judges to conduct their work without intimidation. Lebanon’s failing democracy can be rescued, not simply by the power of voters, but by the confidence of its judiciary’s independence. 

 

Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in these articles are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the position of the American Task Force on Lebanon, a non-profit, nonpartisan leadership organization of Lebanese-Americans. Image by Katy Kildee https://www.katykildee.com

Lebanon Daily News Brief 03/24/2022

DAILY NEWS

Minister of Economy & Trade: Food Security Challenges Imminent in 4-6 Months
According to a L’Orient Today interview with Minister of Economy & Trade Amin Salam, “The Economy and Trade Minister told L’Orient-Le Jour that there is no need for alarm, and that his team is already examining alternative solutions to Russian and Ukrainian wheat, while preparing for the possibility of a lifting of central bank subsidies on imports of this essential commodity.” [L’Orient Today]

 

Judge Summons Central Bank Governor for Questioning
Lebanese judge Nicolas Mansour is summoning Central Bank Governor Riad Salameh for questioning on March 31st, 2022 in addition to ordering his brother, Raja, to remain in custody following his detention last week. They are both being charged with illicit enrichment, pertaining to apartments purchased and rented in Paris. [Reuters]

 

Minister of Interior Requests Army to Protect Zouk Power Plant, Risk of Explosion
In a statement, Minister of Interior Bassam Mawlawi asked the army to send soldiers to Zouk Power Plant, in order to protect vulnerable fuel tanks and expired chemical materials, adding that “the plant’s current security situation is not appropriate due to the presence of holes in the electronic fence and the absence of any guards, which would allow individuals to enter into its premises, where hydrogen and fuel oil tanks and some expired dangerous materials are present.” [Naharnet]

 

OPINION & ANALYSIS

Lebanon Needs International Support For Judicial Reform

Adnan Nasser

Nasser writes, “It has been almost two years since the devastating explosion in Beirut’s port that had taken the lives of more than 200 people and 6,500 wounded. Billions of dollars’ in property damage was also inflicted on the society. This exacerbated the existing economic declines, and depositors faced even more severe monetary erosion  as a result of the widening  financial meltdown, making it nearly impossible to rebuild some semblance of normalcy. People wanted to know why this could happen and what is being done to unearth the answers. The Lebanese courts are fighting to give the people the truth on who is responsible for storing 2,750 tons of Ammonium Nitrate (AN), the cause of the blast. Judge Tarek Bitar, a dedicated legal servant, is giving the Lebanese hope in the domestic judiciary as Aya Majzoub, a Human Rights Watch researcher,  told Al Jazeera. Indeed, his willingness to call on witnesses from the elite such as former Ministers Hasan Khalil, Ghazi Zeiter, and Nohad al-Mashnouk has rattled the fragile cages of the once perceived immunity these influential political figures possess. He is setting a precedent that a majority of Lebanese are not used to seeing, that of politicians being treated as if they are under the law and not above it.”

Read More Here

 

Carnegie Middle East Center
Party All The Time

Araz Bedross

Bedross writes, “The total number of Armenian voters is officially estimated at 106,476, divided principally between 86,163 Armenian Orthodox voters and 20,313 Armenian Catholics. In the last elections of 2018, only 28 percent of registered voters participated. In districts where there are many Armenians, such as Beirut, only 10,800 out of 44,703 voted. In the Metn District of Mount Lebanon, 10,400 out of 31,839 voters participated. While in Zahleh, only 3,000 voted out of 10,000 registered voters. Generally speaking, Armenian voters can be divided into three categories. The first is made up of those who are strongly affiliated with the main Armenian parties. They tend to be afraid of change, and even when they seek to take a distance from the parties, they are afraid of where this might lead. Such behavior may mean they are denied assistance and health services provided by Armenian social organizations. These voters subscribe to the belief that if party candidates are not elected, this will impact Armenian identity and language negatively, weakening the community. Most of these voters live in Armenian neighborhoods administered by the main political parties.”

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USAID & Mercy Corps
Flash Update: Humanitarian Impact of Ukraine Conflict on Lebanon
“Lebanon faces significant fallout from the Ukraine conflict due to potential grain shortages and the economic impact of higher commodity prices – in particular fuel – when it can least afford it. Mired in one of the largest economic contractions in history, the heavily import dependent Lebanon must face down the prospect of higher commodity prices and a renewed collapse of the Lebanese lira. Lebanon’s economy will be negatively affected by these factors at a time when the government has proven largely unable to mitigate their impact, and is devoid of the resources to do so. This in turn will negatively affect Lebanon’s most vulnerable, with the cost of essential goods such as food and fuel disproportionately affecting the country’s poorest residents.1 In the context of rising humanitarian needs in Lebanon and a precarious macro-economic situation, the impact of the Ukraine conflict will exacerbate an already dire humanitarian situation, potentially prompting further political destabilization, undermining the potential for an economic recovery, and driving many more into dependence on humanitarian assistance.”

Read Full Report Here

Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in these articles are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the position of the American Task Force on Lebanon, a non-profit, nonpartisan leadership organization of Lebanese-Americans.

Lebanon Daily News Brief 03/23/2022

DAILY NEWS

KSA, Kuwaiti Ambassadors to Return to Beirut
According to Naharnet, the Saudi Ambassador to Lebanon Walid Bukhari will return to his mission in Beirut. The Kuwaiti Ambassador to Lebanon will also return to Beirut, following a recent statement issued by Prime Minister Najib Mikati expressing Lebanon’s commitment to repairing its ties with the Gulf. [Naharnet]

 

Cabinet to Summon BDL Governor In Next Session
The Cabinet decided that it would summon Central Bank Governor Riad Salameh for a discussion related to Lebanon’s banks in its next session. [L’Orient Today

 

Lebanon to Import Wheat from India 
According to Reuters, “Lebanon is planning a tender to import 50,000 tonnes of wheat from India but the timing depends on the Lebanese central bank opening the necessary credit line, the economy minister told Reuters, as Beirut seeks alternatives to Ukrainian grain.” [Reuters

 

OPINION & ANALYSIS

Lebanon’s Elections: Who’s In And Who’s Out?

Jean AbiNader

AbiNader writes, “Lebanon’s politicians speak volumes of their intentions, yet all they have to show for it is their mastery of procrastination, denial, thuggery, abstentions, and other tactics from their corruption toolkit, ensuring that any threats to their priorities are mitigated. As Ibrahim Johari has documented, there are significant obstacles imposed on new entrants to politics as well as to voters, themselves. The Arab News article observes that less than half of all registered candidates survive to get on a ballot, being unable to find a list that will include them. Although in some districts the election regulations do allow for both individual and list-based voting, independent candidates without more unified backing ultimately face an arduous challenge . . . With the registrations now complete, emerging questions are increasingly concerned with the possibility of the election‘s postponement should Hezbollah, Amal, and the Free Patriotic Movement come to the conclusion that their alliance will lose its majority position in Parliament after May 15th.”

Read More Here

 

The Wall Street Journal
A Crisis in U.S.-Middle East Relations

Firas Maksad

Maksad writes, “After the last major attack this January, the U.A.E. didn’t hear from U.S. senior administration officials, and when Gen. Frank McKenzie, America’s top commander in charge of the region, paid a visit over three weeks later, Mohamed bin Zayed, the country’s de facto leader, refused to meet with him. Concerns about America’s commitment had morphed into feelings of abandonment and anger. Then when Mr. Biden wanted to call to ask for help lowering oil prices weeks later, his U.A.E. counterpart was unavailable to take the call. The Biden administration’s behavior toward the Gulf Arab states contradicts its National Security Strategy, which emphasizes revitalizing America’s alliances and partnerships. Team Biden has two mistaken assumptions: that the rise of China and return of Russia as great-power rivals necessitates a recalibration from the Middle East to Southeast Asia and now to Eastern Europe, and that achieving detente with Iran, beginning with a nuclear deal, would make the region more stable.”

Read More Here

The National Interest
Will Russia’s War in Ukraine Lead to Starvation in Lebanon?

Adnan Nasser

Nasser writes, “Lebanon’s government is bankrupt and is dealing with a cornucopia of problems, exacerbated by the financial crisis that started in 2019 and the 2020 Beirut blast that left hundreds dead and thousands injured. To make matters worse, the explosion destroyed the mammoth size grain silos that once boasted to carry 100,000 tons of grain. This means that Lebanon, which had the capacity to feed itself for three to four months prior to the explosion, can now only feed itself for a little over a month. The depletion of food reserves has only brought the cost of consumer goods higher, increasing the burden on both citizens and the government. Salam has issued warnings about Lebanon’s dire financial situation, especially since the central bank subsidizes wheat at 100 percent of its cost. At current international prices, the Lebanese central bank is spending close to $20 million a month. In a statement made to the press, Salam said the state is working with traditional partners like the United States, Romania, and other international donors to help secure 50,000 tons a month of wheat. Yet Lebanon’s partners have been demanding that it reform its political system and tackle corruption before any new aid will flow to the country. In this predicament, however, the Lebanese people are suffering due to their leaders’ unwillingness to do the right thing.” 

Read More Here

Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in these articles are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the position of the American Task Force on Lebanon, a non-profit, nonpartisan leadership organization of Lebanese-Americans.

Lebanon Daily News Brief 03/22/2022

DAILY NEWS

Lebanon Prepares Counter-Offer on Maritime Border
According L’Orient Today, “the meeting between the three officials [President Michel Aoun, Prime Minister Najib Mikati, and Speaker of Parliament Nabih Berri] resulted in an agreement to make a counter-offer. ‘The objective is to improve the conditions of the agreement so that Lebanon gets all the disputed 860 square kilometers,’ said a source familiar with the matter. ‘We think it is possible to claim all of Line 23 and to ensure that the Qana field is entirely on our side of the border,’ confirmed a source close to the president.” [L’Orient Today]

Fransabank: Court Accepts Appeal, Some Vaults Unsealed
An appeals court rescinded the ruling of Judge Mariana Anani, who issued the order to freeze the assets of Fransabank. The bank also stated that it would file another appeal to get more of its vaults unsealed. Fransabank also said that it would fill up ATM machines with cash from vaults that had not been sealed to meet customer needs, while appealing to have the seals lifted from the others. [Reuters]

 

OPINION & ANALYSIS

Lebanon’s Elections: Who’s In And Who’s Out?

Jean AbiNader

AbiNader writes, “Lebanon’s politicians speak volumes of their intentions, yet all they have to show for it is their mastery of procrastination, denial, thuggery, abstentions, and other tactics from their corruption toolkit, ensuring that any threats to their priorities are mitigated. As Ibrahim Johari has documented, there are significant obstacles imposed on new entrants to politics as well as to voters, themselves. The Arab News article observes that less than half of all registered candidates survive to get on a ballot, being unable to find a list that will include them. Although in some districts the election regulations do allow for both individual and list-based voting, independent candidates without more unified backing ultimately face an arduous challenge . . . With the registrations now complete, emerging questions are increasingly concerned with the possibility of the election‘s postponement should Hezbollah, Amal, and the Free Patriotic Movement come to the conclusion that their alliance will lose its majority position in Parliament after May 15th.”

Read More Here

Al Monitor
Lebanese Turn To Cryptocurrency As Economy Tanks

Rodayna Raydan

Raydan writes, “Beyond offering financial independence, cryptocurrencies are bringing the much-needed foreign currency to the cash-strapped people in Lebanon. Due to the unregulated nature of this sector, economists in the country fear a new and desperate generation of bitcoin mining and trading addicts will emerge and may turn extreme in investments. Rami Shmeit, an economic analyst, told Al-Monitor more about the risks in the cryptocurrency market, especially in Lebanon, given that many are taking advantage of people’s desperation to earn foreign currency from bitcoin mining and trading. ‘I know guys who have sold their cars, jewelry and home furniture, and many have quit the Lebanese army to invest their money and time in mining despite lacking the much crucial knowledge needed in this sector,’ said Shmeit.”

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Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in these articles are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the position of the American Task Force on Lebanon, a non-profit, nonpartisan leadership organization of Lebanese-Americans.

Lebanon Daily News Brief 03/21/2022

DAILY NEWS

Central Bank Governor Charged with Illicit Enrichment
Lebanese Judge Ghada Aoun charged BDL Governor Riad Salameh with illicit enrichment, which is the first of such charges brought against him. The illicit enrichment charge relates to the purchase and rental of Paris apartments, and Salameh denies any wrongdoing, as he claims an audit demonstrates that his wealth is not derived from public funds. [Reuters]

IMF Meets with Government
A statement released by the Deputy Prime Minister’s office reported that the government met with the International Monetary Fund last week, discussing capitol control and banking secrecy laws. According to L’Orient Today, “The parliamentary Finance and Budget Committee will review on Wednesday the budget of the Energy Ministry, the last ministerial budget needing review before the committee can move on to discussing tax amendments.” [L’Orient Today

PM Praises KSA-French Initiative For Lebanon 
Prime Minister Najib Mikati in publicized remarks, praised a humanitarian French-Saudi initiative for Lebanon. According to Naharnet, “a French-Saudi fund had been decided in a meeting between Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan and his French counterpart Jean-Yves Le Drian, Miqati told Asharq al-Awsat newspaper, in remarks published Monday. He said that KSA has donated $36 million, through the King Salman Relief Center, for humanitarian aid to Lebanon.” [Naharnet]

 

OPINION & ANALYSIS

Lebanon’s Elections: Who’s In And Who’s Out?

Jean AbiNader

AbiNader writes, “Lebanon’s politicians speak volumes of their intentions, yet all they have to show for it is their mastery of procrastination, denial, thuggery, abstentions, and other tactics from their corruption toolkit, ensuring that any threats to their priorities are mitigated. As Ibrahim Johari has documented, there are significant obstacles imposed on new entrants to politics as well as to voters, themselves. The Arab News article observes that less than half of all registered candidates survive to get on a ballot, being unable to find a list that will include them. Although in some districts the election regulations do allow for both individual and list-based voting, independent candidates without more unified backing ultimately face an arduous challenge . . . With the registrations now complete, emerging questions are increasingly concerned with the possibility of the election‘s postponement should Hezbollah, Amal, and the Free Patriotic Movement come to the conclusion that their alliance will lose its majority position in Parliament after May 15th.”

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L’Orient Today
Confessional Seat Distributions, Political Balance of Power, What’s At Stake in the May 15 Elections: Everything You Need to Know About Lebanon’s 15 Electoral Districts

Élie Fayad

Fayad writes, “The large constituency encompassing all of the western neighborhoods of the capital, with a Sunni majority, and large Shiite and Christian minorities, has been an undisputed stronghold of the Hariri clan since the 1990s. The withdrawal of Hariri and the Future Movement from the current elections opens this constituency to all possibilities and could strengthen the penetration of Hezbollah and its allies unless the situation is steered in a way that would remobilize the Sunni electorate around a list that is close to Hariri’s choices. The opposition movements could also make their way into this urban constituency, which, however, remains difficult to access due to a relatively high eligibility threshold.”

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Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in these articles are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the position of the American Task Force on Lebanon, a non-profit, nonpartisan leadership organization of Lebanese-Americans.